Summary of capacity performance
Spain experienced an increase in traffic from 1 983k flights in 2022, with 588k minutes of en route ATFM delay, to 2 194k flights in 2023, with 1 029k minutes of en route ATFM delay.
There was an additional 101k minutes of en route ATFM delay originating in the Spanish ACCs that were re-attributed to other ANSPs via the NM post operations delay attribution process: 71k minutes of en route ATFM delay were re-attributed to DSNA and a further 29k minutes of en route ATFM delay were re-attributed to the DFS as part of the eNM/S23 measures.
NSA’s assessment of capacity performance
Regarding the Continental Spain en-route area, it was expected to reach 1,888 thousands of flights in line with the scenario base of STATFOR forecast October 2021. However the actual figure in 2023 amounts to 2,063 thousands of flights, which means an increase of 9.3% above forecasted and a 2,2% above 2019 traffic.
En route delay has been above the 2023 target, as previously informed to the Commission before the end of 2023 and according to Regulation (EU) 2019/317 Article 37(1). En-route has already exceeded pre-pandemic traffic levels, being 2% higher than 2019, while delay is virtually similar and only 1% higher than 2019.
In general projects have been implemented solving the problems that had been identified but new challenges have arisen such as the large increase in traffic in the (Seville) LECS region (16% higher compared to 2019), changes in traffic flows that saturate sectors and increase their complexity, etc. All these pose new challenges that require new measures that are already under consideration.
Monitoring process for capacity performance
By 2023 the minutes reallocated by network measures (eNM/23) and the information related to the Post-Operations Performance (approved Post-Ops cases) distributed by Eurocontrol throught the Post-operations performance adjustment process, have been taken into account. Since March, en route traffic has been higher than the equivalent of 2019. In some regions the recovery with respect to pre-pandemic has been faster and already since January they were at values above the 2019 equivalents in Canarias ACC (GCCC), Palma ACC (LECP) and Seville ACC (LECS), while other regions such as Madrid ACC (LECM) did not exceed pre-pandemic levels until August. Despite the increase in traffic, national delay levels remained below target until May and ERD values in 2023 have always remained lower than those of 2019 until the end of the year when they equaled it, i.e. an ERD value similar to 2019 has been reached but managing 2% more en-route traffic.
From June onwards, with the reactivation of traffic and the development of the high season in most ACCs, more delay minutes were generated, concluding the year with their non-compliance. Delays were mainly caused by C-ATC Capacity (65% of the 2023 total, compared to 69% in 2022) and W-Weather (24% of the 2023 total, compared to 25% in 2022). At GCCC, the RNAV1 implementation in October-November resulted in about 30k min of delay due to P-Special Event during the transition procces but an improvement in operations is expected from 2024 onwards. At LECB, weather accounts for one third of the delay. In LECM, LECP and LECS, most of the delay is due to C-ATC Capacity (70-75%). In LECP, the delay is mainly concentrated in Jul-Aug. In LECS, during the second half of the year there were some minutes of delay due to S-Staffing which is an increase over 2022 but still well below the values that were in 2019 for this cause, also the implementation of MIDAS during November caused minutes of delay due to P-Special Event during the transition procces.
The AESA Monitoring Process continues to monitor this indicator on a monthly basis taking into account the different causes of delay, since the incentive system implemented for RP3 considers a mechanism modulated by causes of delay. The evolution of the attributable and non-attributable delay causes is monitored in order to apply the incentive mechanism and to identify the reasons in the event of non-compliance.
The alert mechanism continues to be active to warn, months before the end of the year, of possible non-compliance. In 2023 this mechanism was activated to report to the Commission the expected non-compliance of this indicator, which finally ocurred.
Capacity planning
The NOP Rolling Seasonal Plan during 2023 has changed, covering now an outlook of eight weeks instead of six. The time horizon and frecuency of the updates is regularly reviewed.Every week Enaire updated data to the plan (planned sector openings, maximum possible sector openings, sector capacity reductions if any, availability of support to operations staff, additional information -e.g. other constraints to be highlighted- and special events and major projects). The plan is a living document regularly updated and published by NM in order to be adapted to the changed conditions of the Air Navigation Service. Also a NOP for the 2024-2029 period was elaborated.
Regarding the current status of the main projects planned for 2023: Capacity and Quality of Service & Airspace
• LECB ACC: Capacity of the LEBL final approach sector was improved, on 18-Aug-2023, from 40 to 41 in East and West configurations. New sector LECBPLC and new configurations (3D, 5E) created. Phase 2 of the FRA project is progressing as planned, with publication of additional connectivities in June 2023 and (scheduled for) December 2023. This project will continue until end of 2025, but the milestones for 2023 have been completed successfully. The BALSE sector splitting was performed on May 18, 2023. Together with this splitting, new sectorizations were created, and the division flight level between LECBMNL and LECBMNU was changed from FL325 to FL345.
• GCCC ACC: New sector configurations have been created in October, 2023. In addition, the capacities of GCCCNEX and GCCCNEL sectors was increased (NEX increased from 30 to 32 traffics/h, and NEL from 32 to 35 traffics/h). Phase 2 of the FRA project is progressing as planned, with publication of additional connectivities in June 2023 and (scheduled for) December 2023. This project will continue until end of 2025, but the milestones for 2023 have been completed successfully. Cooperation with Morocco for the improvement of the interface is progressing, but at a very slow pace.
• LECM ACC: New sectors and configurations published on Feb. 23, 2023 with the implementation of parallel independent approaches. Significant increase of capacity in LEMD final approach sectors. Phase 2 of the FRA project is progressing as planned, with publication of additional connectivities in June 2023 and (scheduled for) December 2023. This project will continue until end of 2025, but the milestones for 2023 have been completed successfully. Coordination of activities between Nav Portugal, Enaire regarding implementation of cross border free route with Lisboa are ongoing. Significant changes in traffic flows are observed in Madrid ACC after recovery from COVID. Splitting of ZGZ/TER is ready to be implemented, but no benefit is expected from the project with current patterns. Therefore the project effective implementation has been postponed until benefits justify the implementation.
• LECP ACC: The MXX sector was split on 28 May, 2023. This sector split, together with the capacity increase of MXX performed in August 2022, is improving delivered capacity in a sector that was generating significant delays since 2018. Redesign of Palma TMA, delayed for years due to environmental issues, will not be ready for 2025, and a new plan is being prepared. Currently it includes implementation of new procedures for LEMH and SIDs for LEPA in 2027, and new approach procedures for LEPA in 2028.
• LECS ACC: Redesign of MAR sector together with global redesign of several en-route sectors and associated configurations. Redesign of MAR sector, initially planned for 2024, was successfully implemented on November 2nd, 2023, ahead of schedule. The project implied a major redesign of several sector volumes and operational procedures, and was implemented together with the new procedures in Malaga TMA. During the transition plan capacities were reduced and some delays (Special Event) were generated. In the medium and long term, the project will provide additional overall capacity. Phase 2 of the FRA project is progressing as planned, with publication of additional connectivities in 2023. This project will continue until end of 2025, but the milestones for 2023 have been completed successfully.
Application of Corrective Measures for Capacity (if applicable)
Targets in LECB, LECM, LECS and GCCC have not been met. In all ACCs except GCCC, C-ATC Capacity is the main cause of delay, representing 65% of the total delay. In LECB it is 61% but in LECM, LECP and LECS it is between 71% and 75%. In GCCC it is only 40% because the minutes caused by the implementation of RNAV1 procedures during October-November have resulted in many minutes for P-Special Event delay, being the first cause of delay with 41% of the total in that ACC. In LECB the delay due to W-Weather accounted for 34% of the total in this ACC, the highest percentage of the 5 ACCs; in the others, W-Weather accounted foe between 11% and 19% and in the 5 ACCs as a whole it represents 24%. P-Special Event delay accounted for 5% of the total due mainly to the contribution of RNAV1 implementation during October-November at GCCC, due to MIDAS during November at LECS and due to an Ocuupancy Trial during May at LECM.
Compared to 2019, it should be noted that LECB and LECM improved delay values even taking into account that the recovery of traffic to pre-pandemic levels has been achieved and surpassed in 2023. Traffic in 2023 has been higher than expected. In Sevilla there has been an increase of 16% taking 2019 as reference; in Palma, there has been a 7% increase. The rest of ACCs also with increase over 2019 figures, and even over 2022 figures. Sevilla with an increase of 13% over 2022 figures.These are average figures, but peak demand has been very strong.
The ERD ATT indicator of attributable causes of delay (CRSTMP) has also not met its target at national level, as well as by region, where only LECP has remained below the target. Despite C-ATC Capacity being the main cause of delay, fewer minutes have been reported compared to 2019 even having managed 2% more traffic. In contrast W-Weather delay has increased by almost 50% compared to 2019 minutes for this cause. Flight, airport and air traffic operations all suffered from volatility of demand, in general. Weather regulations were particularly volatile in 2023. Weather affected operations earlier this summer (May) and continued through July-September. One of the sectors more affected in Spain by weather regulations in 2023 was the LECBCCC, which is indeed one of the most affected areas by thunderstorms in Spain.
The sector accumulating highest delay in Seville was LECSSUR. Demand increased above all expectations due to significant increase of traffic to and from Morocco. In addition, Moroccan companies refuse to overfly Algers, and plan their flights via Sevilla ACC and the Southern part of Barcelona ACC. The Santiago Oceanic (LECMSAO) sector also experienced a significant increase in trans-oceanic flights. These flights cause high workload, since ATCOs need to coordinate and transmit the oceanic clearance individually. Regulations are introduced to control complexity of the sector and this explains the high delay figures in this sector. Other circumstances could be new distribution of traffic flows due to changes in the en-route unit rates.
As reported to the Commission in December 2023, the non-compliance of the indicator ERD was foreseen and communicated according to Regulation (EU) 2019/317 Article 37(1). In that report, the situation was analyzed at route level and in each region, concluding that the improvements in capacity that could have led to meeting the targets were not met due to the large increase in traffic handled, in particular in the flow to Morocco causing overload in the LECSSUR sector, demand for overflying increased above expected, the negative contribution of Weather to a more optimal management of traffic flows and demand drift during the day that was causing problems for the night shift in many occasions. In general, the projects contemplated in ESPP3 were being implemented on time but did not appear to be sufficient to meet the targets set given the volume of traffic managed.
Recommendations to the ANSP to rectify the situation:
In the report to the Commission submitted in December 2023, some of the additional measures planned by ENAIRE were explained. Some of the planned projects are the split of LECSSUR sector planned in April 2024, a change in the division level between the LECSSEVL and LECSSEVU sectors, the redesign of LECMSAN/LECMSAO sectors for 2025, new procedures for LECBCC to reduce the delay due to Weather, etc.
Endorse ENAIRE to continue implementing the capacity plan in order to achieve the objectives of delays and better air traffic management, focusing on projects that have an impact on the increase of available capacity, as well as on the implementation of projects that improve operations to manage traffic increases above pre-pandemic levels.
Special attention should be paid to the aspects mentioned in relation to the increase in traffic, since these are new circumstances not contemplated in the ESPP3 capacity plan and therefore the necessary measures are already taken through the additional measures described above to alleviate the problems that have arisen.
Measures put in place by the ANSP:
- Continued effort to increase staffing levels and.or availability in Madrid ACC and Barcelona ACC - provide additioanl ATCOs - continuous and ongoing;
- Continued alignment of traffic demand and sector opening times in Madrid ACC and Barcelona ACC - adapt configurations and sector openings constantly to traffic demand - achieved in 2023;
- Cross-border scenarios LECB -LECP - to balance traffic between feeders to Palma airport. Some scenarios converted to static measures (RAD) - achieved in 2023;
- France/Spain airspace restructuring project and re-sectorisation in Barcelona ACC and Madrid ACC - DSNA/EUROCONTROL/ENAIRE working group established - implementation in 2024;
- Particpiation in Operational Excellence Program of EUROCONTROL - ASM-ATFM practices - achived in 2023;
- Canarias ACC participation in the knock-on-delay trial initiative - new traffic counting methodology - implemented in 2023;
- Significant use of scenarios in LECM - to manage overloads in upper sectors; some re-routings to avoid congested areas - achieved in 2023;
- New scenarios created in LECSSUR sector - management of traffic increase - achieved in 2023.
Identified Risks to Capacity Performance:
AESA is aware that there is a certain risk of not meeting the performance target in 2023 given the degree of seasonality that exists in some units. The various monitoring activities will continue, monthly and annual monitoring, as well as periodic monitoring of the assignment of delay causes in order to know the evolution of the KPIs and the specific characteristics of each unit. This results in a better knowledge of the behavior of the indicators and a fluid communication and coordination with the ANSP. Additionally, AESA is monitoring the cases reported by our ANSP through the Post-OPS performance adjustment process, collaborating with both ANSPs and other stakeholders with the aim of deepening the analysis of the cases.
As the year progresses and especially as the summer season unfolds, with the existing follow-up mechanisms thanks to various monitoring and alert system in force, if this risk of non-compliance materializes, it will be notified to the Commission as established in the Regulation (EU) 2019/317.
Additional Information Related to Russia’s War of Aggression Against Ukraine
Due to the Ukaine war, Oceanic traffic is proceeding via the Northern sectors in Madrid ACC, with particular impact on the SAO (Santiago Oceanic) sector. ATFCM procedures have been implemented to control workload on SAN/SAO when the level of oceanic traffic is high, and a new project has been planned to reorganize the Northern sectors and increase delivered capacity.
Other significant variations in traffic flows have been observed in 2023, but it is difficult to identify Russia’s war against Ukraine as the main causal factor.
En route Capacity Incentive Scheme
ENAIRE: Spain uses an incentive scheme based only on delays attributed to C,R,S,T,M & P delay codes. The new target was set at 0.144 minutes per flight and the actual performance is reported as 0.35 minutes per flight (CRSTMP only). This results in a reported malus of 3,034,031 €.